@healthierwiser

Which is worse, poor sleep or no exercise?

This study can't pick one. Each came with a similar rise in the risk of dying. Poor sleep came with a 23% higher risk of dying than good sleep (Huang, 2022). Doing no moderate or hard exercise came with a 25% higher risk of dying than exercising a lot (Huang, 2022). The study didn't test the two habits against each other. Poor sleep with no exercise came with the highest risk of dying, 57% higher than in good sleepers who exercised a lot (Huang, 2022). Poor sleepers who exercised did better than those who didn't. This was in 380,055 UK adults followed for about 11 years on average (Huang, 2022). The study can't show that either habit caused the deaths. Every percentage links to its source.

The short version

Poor sleep and no exercise, side by side

Each row compares one group with another. The other habit and things like age, smoking and weight are taken into account. The likely range is in brackets. The last column pictures the same risk as deaths in two groups of the same size. Those counts are a way to picture the percentage. They are not deaths the paper counted.

GroupCompared withRisk of dyingPictured in same-sized groups
Poor sleepGood sleep23% higher (13% to 34% higher) (Huang, 2022)About 5 deaths for every 4
No moderate or hard exerciseLots of exercise25% higher (20% to 31% higher) (Huang, 2022)About 5 deaths for every 4
Poor sleep with no moderate or hard exerciseGood sleep with lots of exercise57% higher (35% to 82% higher) (Huang, 2022)About 11 deaths for every 7

The first two rows use different comparison groups, and the paper's text reports no direct test of one against the other. So the study can't say which is worse. Only about 3 in 100 people were poor sleepers (Huang, 2022). The percentages compare risks between groups. They aren't what any one person would gain or lose by changing a habit.

Poor sleepers who exercised did better

The 5 signs of healthy sleep the study scored

People answered questions about their sleep at the start of the study. Each of these counted as one sign of healthy sleep (Huang, 2022):

Good sleep meant 4 or 5 of the signs, and poor sleep meant at most 1. People with 2 or 3 were in between. About 56 in 100 people had good sleep. About 42 in 100 were in between. About 3 in 100 had poor sleep. The paper's shares are rounded, so they add to 101 (Huang, 2022). The score is this study's way of sorting people into groups. It is not a medical test.

What counted as exercise

People reported how much physical activity they did in their free time. Activity at work, for travel or around the house wasn't counted (Huang, 2022). "No exercise" here means they reported no moderate or hard activity. "Lots of exercise" means at least twice the study's weekly minimum, with some moderate or hard activity. That is the upper limit of the WHO guideline (Huang, 2022).

The study of 380,055 people

Huang and colleagues used the UK Biobank. People were 55.9 years old on average, and 55% were women. Nobody had a history of heart disease or cancer at the start. People with a history of obstructive sleep apnoea or with very severe obesity were left out too. Follow-up was about 11 years on average, and 15,503 people died, about 4 in 100 (Huang, 2022).

Good sleep4 deathsPoor sleepabout 5 deaths
Each figure is one death, in same-sized groups. Poor sleep meant at most 1 of 5 signs of healthy sleep.

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How far to trust these numbers

Sources